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<!--Generated by Squarespace Site Server v5.9.2 (http://www.squarespace.com/) on Thu, 11 Mar 2010 09:23:43 GMT--><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"><title>The Global Californian</title><subtitle>The Global Californian</subtitle><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/</id><link rel="alternate" type="application/xhtml+xml" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/"/><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/atom.xml"/><updated>2009-09-27T12:57:26Z</updated><generator uri="http://www.squarespace.com/" version="Squarespace Site Server v5.9.2 (http://www.squarespace.com/)">Squarespace</generator><entry><title>Why the Qom Nuclear Facility Matters</title><category term="Iran"/><category term="politics"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/9/27/why-the-qom-nuclear-facility-matters.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/9/27/why-the-qom-nuclear-facility-matters.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-09-27T12:53:43Z</published><updated>2009-09-27T12:53:43Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>A friend asked me about the significance of the new Iranian nuclear facility whose existence the US president revealed.&nbsp; In light of this developing new story line in the soap opera known as Iran, I thought it might be worthwhile to elucidate how important this revelation is and why it matters.&nbsp; The announcement of a hitherto unacknowledged nuclear facility in Iran is not good for the Islamic Republic and its supporters. Both domestically and internationally, it will provide a major shot in the arm for the opposition, not just to Iran&rsquo;s suspected nuclear weapons programme, but to the Islamic Republic itself.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<p>Iran&rsquo;s nuclear programme has always benefited from plausible deniability about its aim to weaponise its nuclear technology.&nbsp; The existence of a facility that the Iranian government tried to keep secret casts suspicions on the government&rsquo;s purported peaceful intent.&nbsp; In early 2006, when I researched the Iranian nuclear facilities for a private company, the task was laughably simple in that the Iranian Atomic Energy Agency had a very nice website explaining what all the facilities were and provided as much information as various intelligence agencies had been able to come up with.&nbsp; The devil was always in the details of access to and inspection of their nuclear facilities.&nbsp; Because of the United State&rsquo;s childish and inappropriate behaviour towards Iran since the 1978-79 revolution, Iran&rsquo;s stances always seemed plausible on the grounds of reasonable suspicion.</p>
<p>The uprising that started in June of this year did much to eliminate plausible deniability about other areas in the Iranian polity.&nbsp; Domestically, the major outcomes were the appearance of a vocal and broad-based coalition and the near total disaffection of the clergy with the state.&nbsp; The internal discourse on Iran&rsquo;s nuclear programme has had two important parameters.&nbsp; One was that everyone agreed Iran had the right to nuclear energy and its own programme to develop it, but the second was that most everyone also agreed that weaponisation was bad.&nbsp; This consensus on weaponisation came from a wide variety of political and moral perspectives but that the clergy was very vocal against it was very important.&nbsp; None other than Khomeini himself railed against nuclear weapons.&nbsp; My analysis had been that some people, probably the Revolutionary Guards, did indeed want to weaponise, and that someday it would lead to a standoff between conservatives and the clergy.&nbsp; What I didn&rsquo;t realise was how effectively the Islamic Republic had been able to marginalise the clergy.&nbsp; This became apparent in the first week after the elections, when that most grand ayatollahs&rsquo; movements were circumscribed to a high degree, stopping just short of house arrest.&nbsp; With only a few exceptions<span>,</span> almost all of the clergy sided with the opposition, morally casting out the Islamic Republic as un-Islamic in increasingly strong language.&nbsp; The Islamic Republic had previously governed with a complimentary combination of legitimacy and a strong security state.&nbsp; The outcome of the elections took away the legitimacy factor by alienating a broad spectrum of the population and the clerical establishment.&nbsp; The loss of legitimacy has been noticeably effective in decreasing the regime&rsquo;s scope of action.&nbsp; It was forced to back down on accusations that the protests were incited by foreigners, chose to stop televising the trials of political detainees after they became a lightning rod for popular anti-government sentiment, and was deprived of the opportunity to use the annual Qods Day celebrations as a means to deflect attention to problems abroad.&nbsp; The fear of foreign intervention has always been a strong rallying force in Iranian politics and its apparent ineffectiveness underlines the government&rsquo;s inability to stir such sentiments.&nbsp; Meanwhile, the opposition has been taking the lead on numerous moral issues.&nbsp; Coalitions of rich and poor, urban and rural, and pious and secular have thrived on the ensuing government abuses of brutality, political imprisonment, and so forth.&nbsp; The effort to hide another nuclear facility will add to the domestic drumbeat of reasons to oppose the government.&nbsp; The nuclear issue could change from defending the nation&rsquo;s rights to betraying them.</p>
<p>Internationally, the question of further sanctions will likely shift from &lsquo;whether&rsquo; to &lsquo;how much.&rsquo;&nbsp; The Islamic Republic will face a choice between an unequivocal back-down or burning yet more bridges.&nbsp; Having burnt so many domestic bridges for reconciliation, it is possible that Khamenei and company will continue on their current course and try to appear strong by holding firm and not compromising.&nbsp; The choice of backing down is unlikely to win much sympathy from the opposition while standing firm is unlikely to attract many more supporters.&nbsp; China and Russia will certainly have noticed how their perceived support for the Islamic Republic has won them repudiation from protesters who have been having a good time burning their flags and crying death unto them.&nbsp; The announcement of a new nuclear facility could well give those nations the space to back down in their support whilst still saving face.&nbsp; The internal Iranian opposition to weaponisation will also pull the Iranian citizenry into closer alignment with the longstanding American policy of halting Iranian nuclear ambitions with regard to weaponisation.</p>
<p>The main problem for opponents of the Islamic Republic, particularly the US<span>,</span> is that Israeli paranoia will appear to have been vindicated and hence an Israeli attack cannot be ruled out.&nbsp; The longstanding problem with the Israeli attack option is that Turkey and Saudi Arabia block air routes to Iran on two sides and that the US, which controls Iraqi airspace, blocks the most direct path.&nbsp; In a <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/thomas-lipscomb/maybe-brzezinski-is-half_b_294990.html"><span>very belated realisation</span></a>, Zbigniew Brzezinsky has surmised that this could very well require the US to shoot down Israeli jets or become an accessory to an attack on Iran.&nbsp; The United States could make much of halting Israel politically, but the fact that certain people in the political establishment are just now coming around to the possibility that military force might be required is a tribute to American na&iuml;vet&eacute; with regards to Israel.&nbsp; In any event, Israel rattling its sabres and playing the role of the caged insane bear (we just don&rsquo;t know what they&rsquo;ll do) could be beneficial in rallying the support of the international community and the Iranian opposition to put maximum pressure on their government now, as an Israeli attack is possibly the last thing that could keep the Islamic Republic in power.&nbsp;</p>
<p>The Qom nuclear facility weakens the Islamic Republic in three ways.&nbsp; It strengthens the arguments of its international opponents, weakens the arguments of its allies (or gives them space to distance themselves), and adds another focal point for domestic political opposition, all while forcing the Iranian regime into a tighter corner.&nbsp; Moreover<span>,</span> it brings the three groups of opinions into closer political alignment<span>,</span> increasing the probability of substantive pressure being placed on the regime and of that pressure achieving the desired outcome.</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>The Light at the End of the (Salang) Tunnel</title><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/9/14/the-light-at-the-end-of-the-salang-tunnel.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/9/14/the-light-at-the-end-of-the-salang-tunnel.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-09-14T11:30:30Z</published><updated>2009-09-14T11:30:30Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>I&rsquo;m looking forward to leaving Afghanistan.&nbsp;&nbsp; I have about four weeks left; it's that odd period when change feels so close and yet seems so far away.&nbsp; And in truth, I&rsquo;m not leaving Afghanistan just yet so even the leave itself is another marker.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m just using five weeks of my vacation to accomplish other career-related objectives, after which I will remain for about two months in Kabul.&nbsp; Four weeks does mark my leaving the North, though.</p>
<p>Living in the North has been a pleasant time.&nbsp; There&rsquo;s a small group of cool, friendly, and serious-minded people here.&nbsp; Given that we have two proper restaurants in town, that means that activities are communal and include everyone at once.&nbsp; Partying here consists of going out to eat, or somebody cooking dinner, and then going to someone&rsquo;s compound to have a few more rounds.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s actually quite pleasant if one has already gotten the experience of Kabul and, like me, milked it for all it&rsquo;s worth.</p>
<p>There are people who would love the simplicity and tranquility of all of this.&nbsp; I am not one of those people.&nbsp; I can love the people I&rsquo;m hanging out with but I feel like I'm wasting my time if I&rsquo;m not constantly meeting new people.&nbsp; Small towns have always been difficult for me in this way.&nbsp; As a hypersocial person who seeks and enjoys attention, I can&rsquo;t help feeling the need for an ever bigger sandbox to play in.</p>
<p>I wonder what my successor will think of this place, having not experienced Kabul (she&rsquo;s coming straight to Mazar) and having previously worked in much more cosmopolitan places such as the Occupied Territories.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s extremely odd to have your first job in Afghanistan be with nice, professional people, supervising a functional office, and for your role to be one of the few in the country that are clearly defined and hence, easy to explain.&nbsp; Everyone I know has had to experience a lot of highly educational confusion and uncertainty as they became familiar with the nature and rhythm of the chaos.&nbsp; Recently I gave some advice to a friend of a friend, who came to Kabul to work forhelp a local who, because of the culture gap so typical of this country, didn&rsquo;t understand why she would want to go out on her own.&nbsp; Bars, restaurants, and socializing are the most important parts of the Kabul experience&mdash;a lesson that I, even without having any such restrictions, took fully a year to realize.</p>
<p>My assertion that the most important goal while living in Kabul is networking and socializing never fails to raise eyebrows.&nbsp; &ldquo;Time should not be spent frivolously,&rdquo; they might say, and &ldquo;you didn&rsquo;t come here to have fun.&rdquo;&nbsp; To which I stick out my tongue.&nbsp; I most certainly did come here to have fun,&nbsp; (I have an expansive notion of the concept, and spending time out with friends both helps people understand how their bullshit fits into the greater scheme of things and usefully demonstrates that their work is bullshit in the first place.&nbsp; Partying also has the benefit of being a positive example of how life can be consistently fun and need not be spent behind closed doors with only family or those bound by duty rather than love.</p>
<p>My efforts now are focused on keeping up my morale, both on the job and off, until I go.&nbsp; My ears are worn out from the banality of most of the conversations I hear.&nbsp; Often I have pointed out that knowing the language deadens one&rsquo;s enthusiasm for this country.&nbsp; You get to hear impassioned and repetitive discussions on whether the best peaches are from Khenjan or Doushi, you get to hear people relentlessly contradict themselves, and you spend your time keeping your mouth shut, knowing that, through a long chain of consequence and certain existential realities, nothing is going to really get better here until they let their wife sit at the dinner table with the guests.</p>
<p>The election didn&rsquo;t make me feel better, either.&nbsp; Indeed, in numerous speeches, posters, and billboards, Karzai rubbed in his disdain for his subjects and contempt for the process of state building.&nbsp; If Karzai had shown that he cared enough to hack the election properly or expanded the state&rsquo;s power enough to do so, I might have been impressed.&nbsp; Instead it seems that a great deal, if not most, of the election fraud was committed by &ldquo;well-meaning,&rdquo; would-be cronies hoping for a pat on the back from the re-elected president.&nbsp; The civic machinery for even the most menial enterprise, let alone running an election, was not in place and that is no surprise, but the state hasn&rsquo;t shown much enthusiasm for building it.</p>
<p>The gap between the skills necessary to run the most basic institutions and those which exist is enormous.&nbsp; Concurrent with that is the very limited perspective of the people, which is natural considering the lack of resources and opportunities.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s why people aren&rsquo;t curious and why discussion doesn't move above the level of&nbsp; peach quality.&nbsp; Whilst en route to my friend&rsquo;s house with a bowl of&nbsp;<em>mast-o-mouseer&nbsp;</em>(shallots and yogurt), I was engaged in a conversation with my driver about what a shallot is and how, yes, there are fruits and vegetables that he had not heard of.&nbsp; The supreme irony of this is that the shallot is a very Afghan vegetable that the quirks of Afghan history have caused to be forgotten.&nbsp; Ultimately, this is a long-term social learning process that can&rsquo;t be answered effectively by a well-implemented local NGO project or a massive nationwide USAID endeavor.&nbsp; The best use of all the aid money poured into Afghanistan has been the creation of a small cadre of people who can fill basic positions within most organizations.&nbsp; This doesn&rsquo;t yet extend much beyond administration manager, logistician, accountant, and so on, but maybe this generation&rsquo;s children will gain the perspicuity to start asking the bigger questions and hence develop the critical thinking skills necessary to make a real difference.&nbsp;</p>
<p>This probably all sounds extremely cynical but I think it&rsquo;s simply realistic and sober.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m far from depressed about my time here and there are still a few more adventures and pontifications to write about.&nbsp; The most important gains, or so I like to think, have been the immense experience and empowerment I&rsquo;ve gained personally.&nbsp; That includes all the great people I&rsquo;ve met.&nbsp; Wells dug or surveys completed just don&rsquo;t matter as much.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s this deepened sense of what&rsquo;s possible, impossible, and the art of the possible that I hope to use to improve the world I live in.</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Political Myths and Narratives in Afghanistan</title><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/8/21/political-myths-and-narratives-in-afghanistan.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/8/21/political-myths-and-narratives-in-afghanistan.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-08-21T23:54:10Z</published><updated>2009-08-21T23:54:10Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span style="line-height: 21px;"><em><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; color: #383838;">This article is a reprint of an abridged version of a <a href="http://worldfocus.org/blog/2009/08/21/in-afghanistan-a-kaleidoscope-of-alliances-and-betrayals/6900/">similar post</a>&nbsp;originally published on <a href="http://worldfocus.org/"><span style="color: #4a2387; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">Worldfocus</span></a>'s website.</span></em><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; color: #383838;">&nbsp;</span></span></p>
<p>One of my favorite pastimes of late has been talking to people about who they&rsquo;re voting for and why.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Politics is universal to human beings but thoughts about politics are heavily shaped and molded by cultural contexts.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Whatever people&rsquo;s education levels they get the concept of political participation and voting and I&rsquo;ve found that they reject voting only insofar as they don&rsquo;t think the vote will be respected.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The big difference I encounter here is not defined by democratic values, rather it&rsquo;s a difference of how people talk about politics, their narratives, so that the way many Afghans talk about their candidates seems surprising to somebody from the US, France, or Iran.</p>
<p><span>There is no such thing as a political vacuum if people are present, there are only places where the politics appears inscrutable to the uninitiated.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Afghanistan with its multiplicity of figures in an ever-changing kaleidoscope of alliances and betrayals for no apparent ideological reason often seems like such a place.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The reasons for the shifting currents are there, although outsiders don&rsquo;t always properly appreciate them.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>People who told me they would vote against Karzai just because he was supported by former warlord Abdurrashid Dostum all of a sudden appeared teary-eye alongside the road to watch his convoy a few days later when he made his sudden return from Turkey.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The cause was simple.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Their logical analyses of the pluses and minuses of his rule had been replaced by their emotional attachment to a man who had brought relative stability to this party of the country when the rest was in chaos.</span></p>
<p><span>One day while driving to the gym my driver and I were looking at all the campaign posters and related activity in town, poking fun and sharing opinions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He didn&rsquo;t have much definitive to say about any of the current contenders but instead went on at length about some strongman whom he particularly liked during the Soviet occupation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The next day he had a completely different story.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Evidently my driver had to decided to throw his wait behind Karzai and the story changed dramatically.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Suddenly it was Karzai who could do no wrong.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>&lsquo;Karzai built everything in this country after the war [sic]; he&rsquo;s honest, clean, and has personality integrity.&rsquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The argument against Karzai is that he hasn&rsquo;t done enough or doesn&rsquo;t have enough of any of the above, but I didn&rsquo;t see the point in arguing that.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So I asked my driver how he had been convinced of this.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>He must have a conversation with his friends over <em>qalyan </em>(sheesha) or heard the argument from an <em>akhund </em>(priest), I thought.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>His response was &lsquo;no that&rsquo;s just the way things are.&rsquo;</span></p>
<p><span>This is one story but it typifies many others that I&rsquo;ve had.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>During a fast food break in Samangan a man sat across from me while I was eating my kabab and extolled the virtues of one or other previous regime that he particularly like by the same simple formulations; you could leave your door unlocked (no, they really believe it), there was no theft, so-and-so distributed swift and equitable justice.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It annoys me as a Westerner because I feel it sets up unrealistic expectations of leaders and therefore just perpetuates the cycle of violence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For me not locking one&rsquo;s door is a (negative) indicator of sanity rather than a sign of good governance.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As a student of history though I know it is something more and that these precise formulations have been used for thousand of years.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The only reason I don&rsquo;t know personally them is because the fundamental social and moral restructuring of modernity happened where I grew up before I was born.</span></p>
<p><span>Narratives are the key linkage in the relationship of consciousness to reality.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>They help humans structure the world around them to create meaning.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Sometimes narratives become so big and generally applicable that they are myths. In Afghanistan political power is often understood and explained in the form of myths about individuals rather than the specific issues they stand for.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Instead of a person saying &ldquo;I value this characteristic and therefore I will vote for X&rdquo;, they instead tell a story whereby the characteristic is absolutely beyond question and X embodies it.</span></p>
<p><span>Afghanistan is a place where the distance between that old worldview and modern reality is perhaps one of the shortest. Myths will always be with us but in the pre-modern world they held a much greater grip on the human psyche and often became articles of faith in themselves.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The relative lack of technology made the gap between cause and effect far wider and therefore gave myths&rsquo; explanations much greater power and perceived utility.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The mythic narrative doesn&rsquo;t seek to describe so much as prescribe, because since the myth has moral authority (because it is believed more deeply), it suggests both correct means and ends.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>New technology has reshaped the role of mythic narratives in much of the world but in places like Afghanistan the concomitant social change (i.e. individual choice and existential doubt) hasn&rsquo;t yet had the chance to be incorporated into people&rsquo;s self-understanding.</span></p>
<p><span>The power of myths in Afghanistan has allowed people to latch on to unhealthy worldviews that free of massive social stress seem clearly counterintuitive, like the Taliban&rsquo;s ideology.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But this need not be the case and it is important to understand the underlying processes at work.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Conversely it may give them the cognitive space in which to reconstruct their identities as people in this region have done before in the face of sweeping social and political changes.</span></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Reading the messages behind Afghan election posters</title><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/8/21/reading-the-messages-behind-afghan-election-posters.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/8/21/reading-the-messages-behind-afghan-election-posters.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-08-21T22:39:10Z</published><updated>2009-08-21T22:39:10Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span style="color: #000000; font-family: arial, helvetica, lucinda, geneva, verdana, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;"> </span></p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;"><span style="color: #181818; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 21px;"><em><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; color: #383838;">This article is a reprint of a <a href="http://worldfocus.org/blog/2009/08/19/reading-the-messages-behind-afghan-election-posters/6863/"><span style="color: #001ee6; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">post</span></a> originally published on <a href="http://worldfocus.org/"><span style="color: #4a2387; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;">Worldfocus</span></a>'s website.</span></em><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; color: #383838;">&nbsp;</span></span></p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">In the run-up to this Thursday&rsquo;s elections in Afghanistan, I&rsquo;ve noticed a menagerie of political artwork and iconography. Every surface is increasingly plastered with political advertisements of all possible sorts, with even the most sacred surfaces growing more profane by the day.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">Posters began to crowd empty walls and open spaces about a month ago. Slowly, they colonized billboards for other products. Even the portrait of Afghanistan&rsquo;s glorified national martyr, Ahmad Shah Massoud, has been concealed by the cascade of paper and glue.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">Two styles have seemed to emerge &mdash; stuff produced&nbsp;<em>by&nbsp;</em>Afghans and stuff produced&nbsp;<em>for&nbsp;</em>Afghans.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">Because the Afghan society is largely illiterate, the images seem to carry the messages. The posters coming from Afghan campaigns remain simple and effective in their message. But public information campaigns seek to bolster participation in the elections and thereby the state&rsquo;s legitimacy; they seem fraught with too much information and angst.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;"><span class="full-image-float-right ssNonEditable"><span><img style="width: 500px;" src="http://scottbohlinger.com/storage/IMG_0137.JPG?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1250897519100" alt="" /></span></span>Locally, President Karzai&rsquo;s chief challenger, Abdullah, has the backing of the powerful governor of the northern province of Balkh, Muhammad Atta. This simple message that a vote for Abdullah is a vote for Atta is forcefully on view everywhere where numerous pictures can be seen of the two men together. The standard picture of them shows Abdullah looking ahead (and at you) sternly and resolutely with Atta looking on towards him. The power relationship is clearly demarcated by Atta&rsquo;s not weak but admiring expression &mdash; for should Abdullah win, Atta would indeed be subservient to him. The message is clear for even the most illiterate person or casual passerby, but for the literate there is also a written slogan that loosely translates to &ldquo;Going the path of clarity is success.&rdquo;</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">The other poster is a public service advertisement explaining the election process to people. It shows a smiling man of average demeanor and income (though smartly and traditionally dressed) casting ballots for the election. That much is clear. In its attempt to explain the voting process encyclopediacally, however, it gets bogged down in details, at once too confusing for the casual observer and too complicated for someone who takes the time to read its full contents.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;"><span class="full-image-inline ssNonEditable"><span><img style="width: 500px;" src="http://scottbohlinger.com/storage/IMG_0111.JPG?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1250898379765" alt="" /></span></span>In order to show when the polling stations are open, the man casts a different ballot into a different box with each hand, and above each shoulder is a clock with an arrow connecting them intending to show opening and closing times. The two ballots are meant to be for the two separate simultaneous elections &mdash; for the provincial councils and presidency. But the local joke is that the man must be poor because he is only casting two ballots.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">On either side of the man is a text in Persian and Pashto &mdash; which neither I nor anyone else I know has taken the time to read because they&rsquo;re never in a position to stand still and examine it with a critical eye. The poster is cluttered with a number of other symbols meant to explain the different ballots taking place, color-coordinating them and providing the number of an assistance hotline. There&rsquo;s a nifty slogan at the bottom too, &ldquo;your vote, your future.&rdquo; Altogether, the attempt to explain everything to everyone in every possible way collapses into a cacophony of colors and symbols.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">These different approaches to persuasion are seen in advertising for all manner of other products, from products to services to concepts in Afghanistan. What&rsquo;s the difference?</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">The ads produced by those with a direct stake in winning is made by people closer to the audience it is attending to address.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">The public service ad was well-intentioned, but made largely by foreign artists trying to adapt to local aesthetics, and the desire to explain gets bogged down in confusion. It is the product of focus groups and field testing, in a way that probably fits good technical standards but still misses its mark.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">This is the worrying bit.</p>
<p style="padding-top: 5px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 5px; padding-left: 0px; font-family: arial !important; color: #383838; font-size: 12px; line-height: 16px; margin: 0px;">In the larger context of war, infrastructure and stability, the government of Afghanistan &mdash; as the technocratic product of a massive aid infusion and technocratic bureaucracies &mdash; falls short on the emotional plane where Afghans would like to see a state. It loses the feeling it needs to reach the average guy. Relatively few Afghans agree with the Taliban, but those who do have something the others lack: Enthusiasm.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>My First Draft on Iran</title><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/7/5/my-first-draft-on-iran.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/7/5/my-first-draft-on-iran.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-07-05T14:20:21Z</published><updated>2009-07-05T14:20:21Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>This post is far too long in coming. In the weeks between my return from Iran and the fateful elections<span>,</span>&nbsp; I sat down to write out my experiences, as usual with an eye towards transmitting them to other people rather than just as an exposition of what I did.&nbsp; I&rsquo;ve always been uncomfortable with photography as a medium, at least with my personal grasp of it, as the act of taking pictures disrupts the event I&rsquo;m seeking to capture and&nbsp; the resulting images have a way of escaping their context and relevancy.&nbsp; As such<span>,</span> my written accounts are much truer to my experiences.&nbsp; Of course, just as I was about to send it out to my <a href="http://www.thegourmez.com/">editor</a>, everything changed.&nbsp; The order that I had seen in Iran changed fundamentally with a single decision to falsify an election and the entire polity and society catalyzed into a revolution that is still unfolding.</p>
<p>Most of what I saw<span>,</span> of course<span>,</span> was not the Islamic Republic but was Iran, an Iran that continued through the first revolution and will continue through this one.&nbsp; In retrospect<span>,</span> I&rsquo;m glad that so many people voted and I maintained no illusions, but the voting process ended up being crucial when the moment came for people to call out their government on its bullshit.&nbsp; My initial stance regarding the Islamic Republic was wait-and-see, for the simple reason that an electoral process was unfolding and because the alternative was a revolution, and revolutions have almost always eaten their children. The 1979 collapse was extreme in this regard in that organs of government were built anew almost from scratch, forfeiting knowhow and institutional memory in the process.&nbsp; I remember the frantic email exchanges where my friends debated the legitimacy of voting and then finally went out and did it.&nbsp; Now that it has so demonstrably failed, I&nbsp; find myself completely opposed to the same system, but I still hold out the hope that all those quiet years of subtle agitation will eventually produce a stable Iran.&nbsp; Were it not for people really believing the system and having the experience of their votes counting, the broad and peaceful opposition which we currently see would also not have been possible.</p>
<p>So rather than try to resolve my initial impressions with new interpretations, I finally decided to simply present my thoughts as I had originally set them out, one afternoon at the Cinema Museum caf&eacute; at Bagh-e Ferdous, interspersed with lattes and a lot of conversation with the ever garrulous and open locals.</p>
<p><strong>Why Iran?&nbsp; </strong>Iran, and its flagship city Tehran, far exceeded my expectations.&nbsp; I had set off on my vacation with two purposes.&nbsp; One was the practical goal of filling in my mental map of the area of the world where I have focused most of my travels, the odd and incongruous expanse between Delhi, Istanbul, and Cairo.&nbsp; The other was simply curiosity to see a country that has both shaped and influenced<span>,</span> to a great extent<span>,</span> my life and the culture of my homeland, California.&nbsp; I got far more than I bargained for.&nbsp; It's&nbsp; a country that's&nbsp; far more advanced than I had seen or expected and far more inspirational than I thought possible. And I don&rsquo;t mean advanced in a linear or teleological sense, but rather in the sense of social and cultural complexity.&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Tours are weird.</strong>&nbsp; I got into Iran through a tour company, which made the process of getting a visa much easier.&nbsp; If anyone&rsquo;s interested<span>,</span> I can provide more information about the process, though I can say I highly recommend the company I worked with, Thundertour, as they were highly professional and did an excellent job.&nbsp; With a tour<span>,</span> you get a guide, a programme, and prearranged accommodations.&nbsp; Even though the service was great<span>,</span> the tour was a bit of an odd fit with my personality, especially given that the country is quite navigable and affordable on its own.&nbsp; Iran is not the Middle East, it&rsquo;s Europe, as you will see, and the services and attitudes reflect that.</p>
<p>For me<span>,</span> a tour felt like having a job.&nbsp; Every day<span>,</span> I had to be up and going by nine and there was a schedule to stick to.&nbsp; That was hard as Iran is a place prone to hangovers and not to keeping a schedule. &nbsp; On the plus side, having a schedule got me out of Tehran, where I could have easily spent the entirety of my trip shifting between brunching and partying.&nbsp; On the other hand<span>,</span> I could have used another day in Yazd and I had to kick and scream a bit to get a day in Esfahan shifted to Tehran because I had so much to do there.&nbsp; But even if you&rsquo;re not a tour person<span>,</span> like me, go ahead and sign up if you&rsquo;re an American and it&rsquo;s your only way to get in.&nbsp; Iran is a completely different experience than anything else I&rsquo;ve seen and did much to broaden my views.</p>
<p><strong>Iran has produced results.</strong>&nbsp; I expected another Middle Eastern country, and something to fill in the mental gap between Turkey and Afghanistan.&nbsp; No.&nbsp; It is a modern Western country in the good sense.&nbsp; Along with great infrastructure and drinkable tap water, &nbsp; the people themselves are extremely open and forward-looking.&nbsp; Iran is qualitatively leaps and bounds ahead of neighbors such as Turkey and that is something I&rsquo;m not willing to dismiss just because I disagree with certain policies.</p>
<p>Iran heavily challenged a lot of my previous political assumptions, showing me that social and technological development is possible and that popular participation produces more benefits than I expected in determining the development of a country&rsquo;s political structures.&nbsp; In the run<span>-</span>up to election<span>,</span> I&rsquo;ve been engaged in a number of debates with friends about whether or not Iranians should participate in the election.&nbsp; My answer is now a definite yes.&nbsp; The political system in Iran is proscribed within certain limits, but it&rsquo;s also obvious that voting reflects changes in policy.&nbsp; Myself<span>,</span> I compare this attitude&nbsp; to American elections where the political discourse is circumscribed not by a supreme leader but by the overwhelming conservatism of the electorate.</p>
<p>Iran doesn&rsquo;t always offer people a fair trial and doesn&rsquo;t offer full religious freedom as you can&rsquo;t convert to whatever you want.&nbsp; It has huge and unaccountable state enterprises and unaccountable governance institutions.&nbsp; However, most other states in the area&nbsp; many of them allies of the US, are far worse offenders on these grounds.&nbsp; Iran has a system whereby results are not predetermined and people have the expectation that their participation matters.&nbsp; The government also serves the people and is responsive to a degree I have never seen regionally, actively investing in infrastructure everywhere in the form of roads, universities, metros, and sanitation.</p>
<p>None of this means that we should shut up and stop supporting change where we see fit, but it does argue against fomenting another revolution that would simply set back the enormous social progress that Iran has made.&nbsp; Had the revolution played out differently<span>,</span> we could be looking at a secular or socialist dictatorship in Iran that could have more internationally acceptable policies but be far more oppressive.</p>
<p><strong>The interplay of revolution and culture.</strong>&nbsp; The revolution produced change both because of and despite of it.&nbsp; Confidence and independence seem to inform a lot of the attitudes that I encountered.&nbsp; The mentality of independence wipes away a lot of the most tiring experiences of Middle Eastern travel<span>,</span> which can often consist of rather juvenile notions of political philosophy (hello Israel and Afghanistan!).</p>
<p>I thought I would find a confused and lost Iranian generation of youth but found this was far from the case<span>,</span> and in the process discovered just how big the gap is between Iranian culture in the diaspora and in Iran.&nbsp; People have certainly found ways to rebel against the powers that be, as young people do everywhere, but such behavior in Iran is not blind and directionless rebellion but rather, a moving on. &nbsp; Today&rsquo;s generation knows that a secular dictatorship didn&rsquo;t save them nor did an Islamic state.&nbsp; Because they&rsquo;re not beholden to the promise of utopian philosophies<span>,</span> they&rsquo;re instead focusing on the real incremental changes that produce results.</p>
<p>The revolution is everywhere in iconography and political art and I think this affects the discourse as well.&nbsp; Imagine if the radical left<span>-</span>wing students at your university took over the campus.&nbsp; You know whom I&rsquo;m talking about.&nbsp; The guys that shouted about a whole slate of causes from workers&rsquo; to indigenous peoples&rsquo; rights.&nbsp; It all seems tired and washed out 20 years after the collapse of communism<span>,</span> but in many ways the radicalism of the post-war period coalesced and reached its height in the Iranian revolution.&nbsp; So posters and billboards everywhere glorify protesting and populist slogans, and whether you agree or not<span>,</span> theyfeel incredibly juvenile thirty years on.&nbsp; The revolution was a simpler time for humanity and politics, both for the Iranian protesters and bewildered American observers.&nbsp; Those of us fortunate enough to have survived it all or to have been born after have a much larger base of experience, knowledge, and wisdom to build on.&nbsp; The practical effect of all the reminders of revolution<span>,</span> I think<span>,</span> is that it makes protesting look uncool.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m generally not a fan of protesting and rarely participate myself but I suspect the average Iranian at some level has also decided &ldquo;let&rsquo;s do things rather than just protest about them.&rdquo;</p>
<p>The effect of all of this was that I could have conversations with people about what <em>they </em>thought and not some random ideology.&nbsp; No one needed to align a given view with Islam or being Iranian as so often preoccupies people in Afghanistan.&nbsp; They could just have an opinion and express it.&nbsp; This also gets to the kernel of what I think is different about Iranians in Iran versus those on the outside.&nbsp; Iranians on the outside often haven&rsquo;t worked through all of the deep social issues of Pahlavi society that were uncovered by the revolution because they haven&rsquo;t had to.&nbsp; Iranians in Iran have reached their own understanding and society seems very relaxed and at ease with itself<span>,</span> setting aside the underlying antsy-ness I also found growing up in Southern California.&nbsp; In short, ideology in Iran is uncool and I can&nbsp; picture people getting up off their asses when the ideology gets too loud<span>.</span></p>
<p>The revolution brought together a developing country deeply riven by the internal divisions inherent in such shifts.&nbsp; Like in many other places, these differences were often forcefully expressed in the religious/secular divide.&nbsp; The revolution effectively secularized religion by removing it from the private space and putting it firmly in the public space as a universal baseline.&nbsp; The secular and religious classes now found themselves in the same room.&nbsp; The secular classes were circumscribed in public but could still compete on their accumulated wealth, education, and experience.&nbsp; The religious classes now found all places in society open to them and a helping hand from the government encouraging them to get up.&nbsp; The government subsidized courses of study like philosophy and theology that encourage nuance and made them attractive options for people that would previously have walked away with the black-and-white worldview conferred by an engineering degree.</p>
<p><strong>Gender equality in action.</strong> &nbsp; One of the revolution&rsquo;s most tangible benefits is the education of women and their increased involvement in society.&nbsp; This is no shock but seeing the results in practice was refreshing.&nbsp; What happened was that the most traditional members of society, who would have previously stayed at home or not fully participate<span>,</span> suddenly got full license to leave the house and do their own thing (relative to before).&nbsp; Education is transformative and rarely in the ways that educators anticipate.&nbsp; The secular middle classes retain the same values that they had before the revolution but women in small towns went out and learned and saw themselves as full and equal partners in society.&nbsp; The result is not the sort of liberalization that applies to liberals but a broader equality that cuts across classes and, in comparison to everything else I&rsquo;ve seen in the area, has altered gender roles.&nbsp; I did have discussions about &ldquo;traditional gender roles&rdquo; with Iranians<span>,</span> but while identification with such roles is very alive and even part of a set of political beliefs in many areas of the States<span>,</span>, nobody in Iran seemed to have any concept of returning.&nbsp; No &ldquo;the woman should stay home to take care of the kids&rdquo; or &ldquo;you have to wait till your married for sex.&rdquo;&nbsp; I just didn&rsquo;t hear it.&nbsp; From my perspective<span>,</span> I also found interaction with women to be a lot more relaxed, equitable, and straightforward than any other place I had been to.&nbsp; There&rsquo;s no doubt that the massive inclusion of women in society has produced a glaring contrast in a place where the government doesn&rsquo;t give them full political rights.&nbsp; That contradiction will continue to be important in Iran&rsquo;s development, but at the social and cultural level<span>,</span> the discourse of gender equality seems to have been deeply and conscientiously internalized.</p>
<p><strong>Haute couture reaches new heights.</strong> In a lot of ways<span>,</span> Iran felt like the future, and not the cheesy Tomorrowland or Dubai version.&nbsp; The key to this is the combination of grandeur and style.&nbsp; Tehran is a stunning city for its geographical locale alone, set against a backdrop of enormous mountains and climbing over 1,000m from bottom to top.&nbsp; When you&rsquo;re driving along in Tehran<span>,</span> occasionally you get a glimpse through the trees that reveals how high you&rsquo;ve gotten with a stunning view of the city and skyline.&nbsp; Amongst all the stores, restaurants, and very stylish locals you also get the sense that you are ascending culturally, as if you&rsquo;re looking down on places like Paris that once had their day and glory but have now faded along with the twentieth century.</p>
<p>And this sensation is by no means limited to Tehran.&nbsp; Other cities also mix the modern and traditional with exceptional ease.&nbsp; The food everywhere, even though it entirely lacks heat, is almost always exquisite.&nbsp; In every place<span>,</span> I noticed the soaring public architecture and graceful freeway interchanges, but the details were great too, such as the perfectly manicured and radiantly green parks, and the tastefully placed cobblestones and landscaping in the street<span>-</span>side gutters (joobs) that distribute rivers&nbsp; (yes literally) and drainage through cities.</p>
<p><strong>Amazing pop culture.</strong>&nbsp; Pop culture is another thing that strangely benefits from the imposed adversity of government sanctions, both the Iranian government&rsquo;s&nbsp; on culture and the economic ones from other countries.&nbsp; Iran definitely has the most vibrant pop music scene I&rsquo;ve ever seen, and none of it is heard on the radio.&nbsp; Music tastes&nbsp; are mediated through satellite networks such as Persian Music Channel based in Dubai or Los Angeles and of course the tastes of individual consumers.&nbsp; I used the opportunity to load up on Iranian music.&nbsp; My friend brought me to a store where the owner asked me what kind of songs I would like and then burned me as many mp3 CDs as I wanted for $1.50 each (apparently I can also download them free online).&nbsp; Some music is the boring old love music that wouldn&rsquo;t be out of place on the Turkish, Israeli, or Arab pop charts, but a lot of it is simply excellent.&nbsp; I&rsquo;m still listening to and organizing the 500+ tracks I brought back with me.&nbsp; The techno and electronic compositions are first-rate and make for gripping listening.&nbsp; Rap is the real standout however.&nbsp; Persian has always had a poetry fetish and this carries over well into rap music, with stunning beats combined with hilarious, clever, and/or penetrating rhymes that mean you can&rsquo;t do anything else, you just get engrossed in the song.&nbsp; Topics range from&nbsp; clever expositions on sex to some excellent pieces ridiculing Zionism and the Iranian government all in one breath.</p>
<p><strong>Confidence.</strong>&nbsp; As a Westerner, I usually face an uncomfortable power dynamic as the one with education, opportunities, and little to prove, while my interlocutor lacks all of the above.&nbsp; For better and worse, Iran has been as isolated for 30 years as almost any state can be and the habit of blaming outsiders has far exceeded the limits of credibility.&nbsp; As such, I was treated remarkably equitably and few encounters contained any more expectation than their face value would suggest.&nbsp; Frequently<span>,</span> it was expected that I would speak Farsi and people would just come up to me and ask for directions to things, and no one was surprised that I could communicate back to them.&nbsp; People didn&rsquo;t ask me to help them with migration visas but instead expressed interest in tourists visas out of a desire to travel and see other countries.&nbsp; Also when people asked me about the West or my opinions about Iran it was out of genuine curiosity and without the need to prove something.&nbsp; Likewise<span>,</span> I found discussing politics very easy.&nbsp; People were not shy nor did they seem to have any notion that their political beliefs would get them in trouble, though of course<span>,</span> none go so far as to say &ldquo;down with the Islamic Republic&rdquo;&mdash;the lack of such sentiment is both the result of the state not crossing too many people&rsquo;s red lines and security services being deployed very quietly in the background for those few people who would challenge the order.&nbsp; People really think that their vote counts and they're excited about voting even if their selection is not what it should be in this election.</p>
<p><strong>The security state.</strong>&nbsp; The Iranian security state is clever.&nbsp; Rather than minders getting in your face all the time, security is enforced at key nodes and in a way that most people neither see nor realize.&nbsp; Visas for many foreigners, especially &rdquo;high-risk&rdquo; ones like Americans, are not mediated individually but through tour companies, which in turn have trust-based relationships with key ministry workers.&nbsp; The tour company then hires a guide, all of whom must have licenses and are only certified to guide people from certain countries.&nbsp; My guide told me that only about 50 people can be guides for Americans.&nbsp; As the tourist<span>,</span> I have a relationship of implicit trust and respect with my guide and company that provides a strong deterrent for not getting any of the above in trouble.&nbsp; And because the government is not overly intrusive in verifying all of my movements<span>,</span> compliance is fairly easy on my end.&nbsp; In Israel<span>,</span> I felt a very much adversarial relationship with the security services because of the reality of the situation.&nbsp; In Iran<span>,</span> I was definitely annoyed but the reality of external threats and the reality of internal development made me decide to be cooperative if an issue would ever arise.&nbsp; Ultimately<span>,</span> the security forces are based on trust.&nbsp; In every city<span>,</span> on every avenue<span>,</span> there are pictures of people protesting against tyranny and real martyrs who gave up their lives.&nbsp; On the one hand<span>,</span> these strengthen solidarity for the government in Iran, but they are also a powerful constraint on it looking too much like the previous one.&nbsp; If the government were confronted by a broad group of protesters<span>,</span> no doubt the hard security apparatus<span>,</span> consisting of the revolutionary guards and basij<span>,</span> would be called upon but ultimately could not be relied on for very long to quell domestic unrest.</p>
<p><strong>My feelings toward Afghanistan.</strong>&nbsp; Ultimately<span>,</span> I will return to Afghanistan with a heavy heart.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s depressing that a line was drawn in the sand by some British guy 150 years ago and on one side you get a modern country and on the other people struggle with the concepts of restaurants, literacy, and pavement.&nbsp; The irony is that the sheer amount of foreign intervention, no matter how well intended or efficiently implemented, simply ingrains the wrong attitude into Afghans and creates a culture of dependence.&nbsp; It also obviates the very necessary internal political discussions that Afghans need to be having amongst themselves regarding their own political future.&nbsp; On the other hand, Iran shows that a place can grow and &ldquo;catch up&rdquo; with any country in the world it desires.&nbsp; Iran may have a lot to learn still but there&rsquo;s a lot that we can learn from it.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Losing an Election in Iran: The End of the Islamic Republic</title><category term="Iran"/><category term="Political Philosophy"/><category term="politics"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/6/15/losing-an-election-in-iran-the-end-of-the-islamic-republic.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/6/15/losing-an-election-in-iran-the-end-of-the-islamic-republic.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-06-15T18:06:43Z</published><updated>2009-06-15T18:06:43Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>For the last few days, much of the world&rsquo;s attention has been rightly focused on the political coup that has recently occurred in Iran.&nbsp; Having returned from Iran a few weeks ago, I wanted to take the opportunity to offer some of my insights into what is going on at the moment.&nbsp; Shortly, I will write another post giving a more global picture of what I learned in Iran so for the sake of speed I&rsquo;ll just stick to matters as they relate to the political situation in this post.</p>
<p>Whether it&rsquo;s one week or five years from now, the significance of the events of the last week will be&nbsp; a critical loss of confidence in the Islamic Republic of Iran by its citizens.&nbsp; There are four key factors contributing to the changes&nbsp; taking place in the Iranian political landscape: the rigging of the elections in itself, the blatancy of the rigging, the outcome of both of those events amongst the political elite and the clergy, and the loss of trust.</p>
<p><strong>Rigging the election</strong></p>
<p>The massive voter turnout seen on Friday in Iran (and around the world) was not fake; it was an expression of hopes for peaceful change and reform.&nbsp; People were not simply na&iuml;ve about holding such hopes.&nbsp; Previous elections had not been rigged, and, even if the candidate selection had been limited, there was&nbsp; enough difference of opinions that it was worthwhile and certainly comparable to what most Americans enjoy during their perfectly open process.&nbsp; Moreover, different presidents had produced changes in policy and the legislature had not been a rubber stamp, even if the power of both of these was uncomfortably and unpredictably circumscribed by the Supreme Leader Khamenei.&nbsp; Yes, there always was the possibility that this election would be stolen, but there was also reason to give the process a try before giving into cynicism.&nbsp; Although many voters were born after the great terror of the early days of the revolution, their parents and Iranian society as a whole still carry the memory that&nbsp; violent change is hard to control and produces unpredictable results.</p>
<p>Voting, then, was not just a matter of supporting the regime but also of supporting Iran and making sure that the progress it has made since the revolution, in areas such as infrastructure and human development, was not lost.&nbsp; Iran is no third-world country and the Islamic Republic is&nbsp; no tin pot dictatorship.&nbsp; For many years, it has cleverly balanced a set of uneasy demands from various sectors of society and focused its energies rather narrowly on keeping the current system going and avoiding a violent crack up.&nbsp; Iranians, for their part, are generally politically astute enough to realize that not everybody agrees with one individual's point of view.&nbsp; The urban elites knew that the poor rural masses could be satisfied by the government sanction of public piety and those same rural masses knew that the urban elites&nbsp; would continue to enjoy alcohol and such in their gardens, which was fine as long as they didn&rsquo;t have to see it.</p>
<p>The system was an equilibrium of bullshit but as one interlocutor put it to me, &ldquo;This is a necessary and comfortable amount of bullshit, so we go with it.&rdquo;&nbsp; Intrinsic to the situation, and often pointed out ot me, was also&nbsp; that the revolution systematically de-conservatised the most conservative elements of society by making a comfortable public space for them and giving them access to all sorts of information they had not previously had, from literacy to political philosophy.&nbsp; There&rsquo;s few people too uninformed to understand what&rsquo;s going on now as compared to&nbsp; 1978/79 (1357/58), and thus, many of the people who would otherwise have blown with the wind now have their own forceful opinions.&nbsp; The attempt to restrict information to a politically savvy society only served the function of arousing people&rsquo;s suspicion in the late hours on Friday.</p>
<p><strong>The slip up: blatant fraud</strong></p>
<p>That the election was rigged should be beyond any doubt (see <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/stealing-iranian-election.html">Juan Cole&rsquo;s comments for a basic explanation of how</a>), but the obviousness of that rigging has played a large part in making the situation irredeemable for the coup plotters and politically pushing them into a corner.&nbsp; It has also put outside politicians and the press in a quandary about how to report and how to proceed.</p>
<p>On Saturday morning, after the &ldquo;results&rdquo; had been released, people I talked to were just devastated.&nbsp; One friend told me that she thought maybe she got it wrong, that the&nbsp; Iranian masses were really insane and that this was the result.&nbsp; But something was wrong and we both realized that even in a large, conservative country like the US only 51%-52% of the people &ldquo;get it wrong&rdquo; on this magnitude.&nbsp; The next emotion was shock at the insult, i.e.; how dumb did the plotters think Iranians are, especially when spectacularly quickly <a href="http://tehranbureau.com/2009/06/13/faulty-election-data/">assembled polling</a> data were released.&nbsp; One of the great historical debates about this day will center on the extent of premeditation of election fraud.&nbsp; Did Khamenei freak out when he realized that Ahmadinezhad had lost so badly?&nbsp; Or were the <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/2009/06/090609_op_ir88_hashemi_khamenei_letter.shtml">veiled threats made by Rafsanjani</a> and other political leaders in the run-up to the polling indicative of precooked plans for how to steal an election?</p>
<p>At this point the plotters had a few options, either rescind the results immediately and make someone take the fall or keep marching ahead with their plans.&nbsp; They kept marching into the corner, now reliant on the significant chunk of the security forces under Khamenei&rsquo;s remit while politicians were placed in the difficult position of whether to support or speak out.&nbsp; The authorities who had previously been so adept at suspending disbelief or applying acute unseen pressure at key nodes suddenly made a gaffe&nbsp; so large there was no turning back.</p>
<p>Lack of support for Ahmadinezhad was not something that could have been&nbsp; missed by hidebound Western media standing behind interpreters in North Tehran cafes asit was truly massive in scope.&nbsp; As a foreigner traveling around Iran during the campaign without the need for an interpreter, I was hard-pressed to find any support for Ahmadinezhad (I did once from a cab-driver in North Tehran!) and people were not in the least shy or hesitant about expressing their political beliefs.&nbsp; What really struck me, though, was the utter dismissiveness from&nbsp; people towards the president.&nbsp; Sitting at freeway truck stops, I could eavesdrop on conversations by Arab truckers and lower class farmers making fun of the &ldquo;national pet monkey.&rdquo;&nbsp; It is true that Western powers have frequently shaped the Middle East in ways that they should not have and that people did not want, and it&rsquo;s equally clear that countries like the US further their goals with terrorism and refuse to accept election outcomes they don&rsquo;t like.&nbsp; But Iran today is a separate issue.&nbsp; One of the results of being relatively isolated and insulated from international politics for so long is that Iranians had come to view this state as their own and from what I heard, few people were directly concerned with the reactions of other countries in their choice of candidates.</p>
<p><strong>The Iranian political consensus shattered</strong></p>
<p>By alienating such a large section of the political elite, the coup plotters seem to have created in a few days what 30 years of painstakingly built consensus had obviated--a weighty opposition.&nbsp; The 1999 (1378) demonstrations posited students against a unified government and as a result, never gained much traction.&nbsp; What we see now is a breakdown amongst the political elite that has more or less held together since the revolution congealed in the early 80s (60s).&nbsp; This schism has exposed other areas vulnerable to opposition, such as the bazaris and clergy, but, hearkening back to the trust issue, it has eliminated the element of trust that kept the security forces working.</p>
<p>The bazaris are an important and significant, if somewhat anachronistic, fixture in Iran's political order.&nbsp; Commanding many key nodes in the national economy, they were instrumental in the collapse of the previous regime with a succession of general strikes that brought the economy to a halt throughout much of 1978 (1357).&nbsp; Last month, before the campaign even got into full swing, they were vocal in support of Mousavi, hanging posters in the bazaars and in store windows.&nbsp; The reason was simple, while not all bazaris are rich or even adverse to redistributionary justice, Ahmadinezhad&rsquo;s policies were making their economic position untenable.</p>
<p>The clergy has long been unsatisfied with the current state of affairs and is both a very close-knit and argumentative group. The clerical consensus was never behind Khomeini&rsquo;s odd fusion of church and state (velayate faqih), but most clerics were willing to give it a try.&nbsp; From the mid-nineties(late seventies), a growing number of clerics have voiced their opinions against the base of the Islamic Republic.&nbsp; Because these were politely and densely worded statements within risalas (collections of fatwas) in Persian, they were generally not picked up by observers in the West.&nbsp; And they were meant to be mostly for internal debate, anyhow; being a cleric in a cleric regime might suggest that one doesn&rsquo;t want to rock the boat too much.&nbsp; Some figures did come out loudly however.&nbsp; Ayatollah Montazeri, widely acclaimed to be one of the most followed and respected leaders in Twelver Shiism (marja&rsquo;e taqlid) was originally Khomeini&rsquo;s chosen successor but eventually, his criticism led to his being put under house arrest.&nbsp; Montazeri might issue a statement soon that will have dramatic implications, whatever its content.&nbsp; Similarly, I noticed in Iran the passing of Ayatollah Behjat, whose portrait was hung far and wide by the government during and after the official three-day mourning period.&nbsp; I asked a number of people what they thought about Behjat, whose work I was not familiar with myself.&nbsp; The two responses I received were that &ldquo;&lsquo;the government needs to take care of one of its own in mourning him&rdquo; and that &rdquo;they&rsquo;re happy to see him off&rdquo; because of his simple lifestyle and widely perceived opposition to velayate faqih.</p>
<p>Now that the political establishment is split, clerics have to decide which side of the fence to get on.&nbsp; Inevitably, many have political views and the minute they get out on the streets, the government is faced with the grim prospect of shooting a member of the group it claims to represent.&nbsp; Preliminary reports (once again, this may turn out to be true&hellip;I won&rsquo;t claim to have perfect information) indicate that <a href="http://tehranbureau.com/2009/06/14/ayatollahs-protes-election-fraud/">this is happening already</a>.&nbsp; Such accounts coexist alongside reports that Rafsanjani has gone to Qom to gather support, assuming he&rsquo;s not under house-arrest.&nbsp; The telling and retelling of such rumours is important because it both reflects and lends credit to a belief that at least some of the clergy are willing and capable of a revolt.&nbsp; Additionally the deaths of protesters who will certainly be hailed as martyrs, will be mourned forty days after their passing which has historically always proved a venue for reigniting protests.</p>
<p><strong>Breaching the social contract</strong></p>
<p>The most important remaining logistical asset for coup plotters are the security services, which are necessary for controlling popular discontent.&nbsp; The long hand of the Iranian security state was in evidence everywhere I traveled with a mix of carrots, sticks, and controls at key nodes in the network of the state.&nbsp; What made it so effective was the lack of direct security presence, e.g.; big thugs with guns.&nbsp; One the one hand, I had to stay every night more or less where I had told the foreign ministry, and by extension, the information ministry, where I would be, but on the other I could buy and top up a mobile simcard without showing the slightest bit of identification.&nbsp; As brutal as it could be to those who crossed it, the Iranian security state ran on trust.&nbsp; The trust was between its own members, it and Iranian citizens, and between itself and outsiders.&nbsp; Security forces ran the gamut of organization from highly trained elite special forces to the police officer who decided not to issue my guide a ticket because he was so happy to have a chat with an American.&nbsp; I was keen to accommodate them and let them do their job for my part. After all, the Iranian state was seriously vulnerable to external threats and we could all agree that, wherever we stood politically, outside interference was not of help.&nbsp; Now that&rsquo;s all gone.&nbsp; The bystander who might have reported something is much less likely now to tell &ldquo;them.&rdquo;&nbsp; The lowpaid policeman or riot cop has to decide how strictly to carry out orders and whether it&rsquo;s worth it at all.&nbsp; The notion that, despite obvious faults, the state is somehow on my side is much less tenable.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>The Politics of Persian in Afghanistan</title><category term="Afghanistan"/><category term="Culture"/><category term="Language"/><category term="Persian"/><category term="politics"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/5/11/the-politics-of-persian-in-afghanistan.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/5/11/the-politics-of-persian-in-afghanistan.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-05-11T19:23:33Z</published><updated>2009-05-11T19:23:33Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p><span><span>Afghanistan is diverse without a doubt, and this fact is widely cited as part of and indeed relevant to Afghanistan&rsquo;s ongoing strife.<span>&nbsp; </span>As students of nationalism well know, it is seldom asked where ethnic boundaries lie in the minds of those to whom they are ascribed.<span>&nbsp; </span>The commonly accepted ethnic map of Afghanistan looks something like </span><span><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/in_depth/world/2001/war_on_terror/key_maps/ethnic_groups.stm"><span>this one</span></a></span><span>, posted on the BBC.<span>&nbsp; </span>Much of this map is rubbish in that it obscures the real central divide, which is between speakers of Persian and Pashto.<span>&nbsp; </span>That&rsquo;s not to say that the criteria used in the previous map has no<span>&nbsp; </span>basis in history or that they&rsquo;re not at all relevant, but there&rsquo;s another force at work here and that is the ongoing contest between the two dominant languages, Persian and Pashto.<span>&nbsp; </span>Afghanistan is a country struggling to find an identity other than </span><span>&ldquo;</span><span>we are Afghans,</span><span>&rdquo;</span><span> and as such, almost any issue can be hijacked by dispersions cast on its &ldquo;Afghanness.&rdquo;<span>&nbsp;</span></span></span></p>
<p><span>The ethnic identities often cited in Afghanistan are usually a constellation of three factors:<span>&nbsp; </span>religion, language, and lifestyle.<span>&nbsp; </span>Within this rubric, the Pashtuns form the largest bloc.<span>&nbsp; </span>They share the language, Pashto and are practitioners of Sunni Islam.<span>&nbsp; </span>Sunni Persian speakers are Tajiks whereas Shii Persian speakers are Hazara, but there are other Persian speaking affinity groups such as Ismailis and Aimaq.<span>&nbsp; </span>Baluchis, Brahuis, Uzbeks, and Nuristanis speak entirely different languages but confess Sunni Islam.<span>&nbsp; </span>Turkish speakers are mostly Sunni but are mainly divided as Turkmens or Uzbeks, the operative distinction seeming to be that the former are nomads or<span>&nbsp; </span>at least were originally.</span></p>
<p><span>While Pashtuns are often cited as the largest ethnic group, their language is at least at parity with Persian in terms of native speakers, each having somewhere between forty and forty-five percent of the population.<span>&nbsp; </span>Uzbek and various Turkic dialects account for about ten to fifteen percent and numerous other local languages like Balochi, Brahui, Nuristani languages, and Pamiri languages have around one to two percent.<span>&nbsp; </span>Also keep in mind that a person might have two or more native languages, so if this adds up to a little more than a hundred, it&rsquo;s okay!</span></p>
<p><span>In addition to the languages and their speakers, the socio-economic-political status factors heavily into the language&rsquo;s place within society.<span>&nbsp; </span>Ruling &eacute;lites have typically been Pashto in background but the Persian language has traditionally been the prestige language of governance.<span>&nbsp; </span>Persian, in turn, has a complex relationship with Turkish (in this case, the eastern Chaghatay-based dialects of Uzbek and Turkman), as &eacute;lites within the Persian sphere have often come from Turkish backgrounds.<span>&nbsp;&nbsp; </span>Persian is also a curious language in terms of history and evolution.<span>&nbsp; </span>It has remained extremely stable for two thousand years (read a pre-Islamic Pahlavi text and its grammar is very much like that of modern Persian, the main difference being lots of borrowing from Aramaic rather than Arabic) and has an unusual geographic distribution.<span>&nbsp; </span>Rather than having a geographic heartland, it had a socio-economic one of<span>&nbsp; </span>urban dwellers spread fairly thinly between Jerusalem and western China.<span>&nbsp; </span>So people in the cities spoke Persian while people in the country continued in Arabic, Kurdish, Aramaic, Turkish, Pashto, etc.</span></p>
<p><span>Nationalist movements threw all of this into disarray, which I decline to explain in detail but suffice it to know that all of sudden, people&rsquo;s identity had to be a complete package with a language, god, and political unit all its own (the ruling &eacute;lites really liked that last bit). In Iran, Persian had to be taken out of its horizontal role within a single, widely distributed class, and moved into the<span>&nbsp; </span>national role where it would be a language spoken by peasants, entertainers, and Indian chiefs.<span>&nbsp; </span>When Persian became the identifying characteristic of two countries in the region, Iran and Turkmenistan, the numerous Persian speakers outside those territories could, at some level, be perceived as a threat. In Uzbekistan during the Soviet era, Persian speakers had to declare themselves Uzbeks or they had to move to Tajikistan.<span>&nbsp; </span>To this day, Samarqand and Bukhara are major centres of the Persian language.<span>&nbsp; </span>In Afghanistan, the ruling &eacute;lite settled on the dual strategy of promoting Pashto and subconsciously, I think, trying to redefine the Persian language spoken within its borders.</span></p>
<p><span>The Pashto language offered a good unique selling point for Afghanistan, by dint of not being the main language of surrounding countries.<span>&nbsp; </span>Sure, an equal number of Pashtuns could be found in Pakistan, or India before its creation, but only in Afghanistan were they on top.<span>&nbsp; </span>For this reason, the government, from Abdurrahman Khan until the Taliban, encouraged the Pashtun language and ethnic group to the maximum extent.<span>&nbsp; </span>In some cases, large numbers of Pashtuns were encouraged to resettle in strategically important places in the non-Pashtun north such as northern Takhar, Kunduz, Baghlan, Chaharbulak west of Mazar, and eastern Badghis.<span>&nbsp; </span>The government tried to encourage the use of Pashto by all and sundry, but having extremely limited resources, it couldn&rsquo;t really manage this.<span>&nbsp; </span>And the same people who were trying to push Pashto came from an environment in which Persian was the language for culture, so few people who were not ideologues imagined anything radical.<span>&nbsp; </span>Two major changes symbolised this process, the addition of Pashto words into Persian vocabulary and the primacy given to non-standard local Persian dialects.</span></p>
<p><span>The Persian language, being by its nature a &ldquo;high&rdquo; language, does not have a lot of variety despite its span.<span>&nbsp; </span>The biggest difference, perhaps exemplified by the difference between Kabuli and Tehrani Persian, is not nearly as significant as the difference between British and American English.<span>&nbsp; </span>If there are sometimes problems with intelligibility, it only results from the fact that speakers of either dialect do not commonly hear each other like the way an English speaker will hear a news show anchored by an American and a Brit.<span>&nbsp; </span>Persian always had a notion of a formal variety, called <em>dar&icirc;</em>, but Afghanistan at some point made a really big deal out of this and politicians called its Persian <em>F&acirc;rs&icirc;yi Dar&icirc;,</em>(Iranians meanwhile were sticking with simply &ldquo;<em>F&acirc;rs&icirc;</em>&rdquo;) which has the effect of saying &ldquo;our Persian is bigger than yours.&rdquo;<span>&nbsp; </span>After a while, this got shortened to simply &ldquo;Dari.&rdquo;<span>&nbsp; </span>And not just local Persian but the Kabul dialect, which had a higher rate of borrowing from Pashto, Urdu, and English as well as curious phonetic features like dropping its H&rsquo;s.<span>&nbsp; </span>Dari could have meant Persian as spoken generally in Afghanistan, but in practice it came to refer to the Kabul.<span>&nbsp; </span>As a result of thinking of Persian in terms of this proper language, other non-standard dialects of Persian were defined and promoted by some to the status of their own languages.<span>&nbsp; </span>This is especially the case with &ldquo;Hazaragi,&rdquo; Persian spoken by Shiis. Differentiating it from Persian spoken by Sunni Tajiks proved a useful tool for keeping the Shii down.<span>&nbsp; </span>The &ldquo;invention&rdquo; of other languages in place of Persian also provided a benefit for the Pashtun ruling class.<span>&nbsp; </span>It took Persian down a notch in terms of speakers and was a cheap way to buy out other affinity groups whose status might in some ways be elevated by the extra recognition.<span>&nbsp; </span>In the sanctioned Persian dialect, Pashto words were pushed on Persian speakers for places of distinction, like <em>pohant&ucirc;n </em>for university instead of <em>d&acirc;nishg&acirc;h</em>.<span>&nbsp; </span>I personally find these things ironic because they remind me how unpopular Pashtun identity is for non-Pashtuns, but the mental process that led to it is pretty typical of the challenges facing Afghanistan.</span></p>
<p><span>An incident in Mazar-e Sharif between students over the <em>Persian </em>name for Balkh University shows how these issues play out in real life. The name of the university is written in two languages above<span>&nbsp; </span>the gate.<span>&nbsp; </span>The Pashto portion was never in doubt and was always going to be there as <em>Da Balkh Pohant&ucirc;n</em>.<span>&nbsp; </span>But the dispute arose over the question of whether the Persian would be <em>Pohant&ucirc;ni Balkh </em>or <em>D&acirc;nishg&acirc;hi Balkh</em>.<span>&nbsp; </span>Just as someone associates with a political party in Afghanistan rather than talk about the underlying issues that matter (supporting Hizbi Islami or Junbish for example), a lot of other deep and complicated social issues can get boiled down to the use of a single word.<span>&nbsp;</span></span></p>
<p><span>It never stops being bizarre that you can have a conversation with someone in Afghanistan, in my case in western-accented Persian, and he insists that he is speaking a different language, even though both of us are entirely intelligible to each other.<span>&nbsp; </span>I continue to speak Persian with a western accent because it&rsquo;s a part of my identity too, its association with modernity and adaptability to the modern world.<span>&nbsp; </span>When this happens, I nod my head and smile and call it Dari, but I&rsquo;m still not going to start speaking like an Afghan, other than for politeness until Afghanistan gives me a reason to.<span>&nbsp; </span>Language is political for me as well.</span></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Update on the Shia Family Law</title><category term="Afghanistan"/><category term="Islamic Law"/><category term="governance"/><category term="media"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/5/3/update-on-the-shia-family-law.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/5/3/update-on-the-shia-family-law.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-05-03T16:54:10Z</published><updated>2009-05-03T16:54:10Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>I finally did manage to get hold of an amended copy of the law and some other documentation explaining the changes, for which I thank <a href="mailto:http://anandgopal.com/">Anand Gopal</a> of <em>The Christian Science Monitor</em> and a few other generous contacts who further elucidated the process of writing it.&nbsp; The law is, in its current state, more or less what I expected, basically a boiler-plate transferal of generally accepted Shii fiqh on areas concerning personal status.&nbsp; It also seems that the authors consulted a traditional collection of fiqh in drafting it rather than a contemporary document such as the Iranian Civil Status Code.&nbsp; If I&rsquo;m wrong on this, please correct me.&nbsp; I do find this interesting, though, because Afghan Shiis have to walk a political tightrope, asserting their unique identity but also making sure they are not seen as agents of the Iranian state.&nbsp;</p>
<p><span>A lot of the problems created by this law are also technical in nature, in that one article refers to the minimum age for marriage while another gives underage marriage as a possible justification for annulment of a marriage contract, suggesting that underage marriage might have happened.&nbsp; In terms of applicability, the law simply states that it is applicable &ldquo;to Shiis&rdquo; and leaves it at that.&nbsp; Therefore, the question of jurisdiction over mixed couples remains unclear.&nbsp; It also does not appear that there is anything to stop a Shii from going to a Sunni court or vice versa, given that Afghans do not register as one or the other denomination and regardless, Shiis and Sunnis frequently don&rsquo;t even acknowledge the legitimacy of each other&rsquo;s confessions.&nbsp; One last major problem I see is that it&rsquo;s an irregular fit within an Islamic legal system and<span>&nbsp; </span>it will end up being perceived as such. &nbsp;Judges are bound to the law and only allowed to issue fatwas on issues not covered in it. &nbsp;This isn't un-Islamic, but it will likely clash with the popular perception of Islamic law, which is that of involved and responsive justice. &nbsp;If the law is put into effect, expect problems of the sort that we have seen in similar systems like in Iran and Israel.&nbsp; Civil status laws also look funny in an Islamic context because so much more is contractual, like marriage and personal relations, as opposed to the Western heritage where such things are sacramental.&nbsp; Often, no penalties are incurred relating to the state but rather are decided by the disputant parties, so it also seems a waste of resources to have to seek a ruling from a state court rather than one&rsquo;s local village mullah. &nbsp;A reoccurring problem in governance here is the state trying to do too much and mucking things up rather than just doing a few things well.</span></p>
<p><span>I thought of an excellent source for anyone who&rsquo;s interested in pursuing these matters further:&nbsp; Laleh Bakhtiar&rsquo;s <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Encyclopedia-Islamic-Law-ISBN-9781567444988/dp/B001G1MTFQ/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1241346923&amp;sr=8-2"><em>Encyclopedia of Islamic Law: A Compendium of the Major Schools</em></a>, offers a survey of opinion across the four Sunni schools and the Ja&rsquo;fari Shii one.&nbsp; It&rsquo;s not a substitute for understanding the process of reasoning behind a given fatwa, but it is a rough guide.&nbsp; The author highlights the many issues on which there are differing opinions between jurists of a single school.</span></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>What's Really Happening with the Shia Family Law?</title><category term="Afghanistan"/><category term="Islamic Law"/><category term="governance"/><category term="media"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/4/29/whats-really-happening-with-the-shia-family-law.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/4/29/whats-really-happening-with-the-shia-family-law.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-04-29T07:44:56Z</published><updated>2009-04-29T07:44:56Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span>The Shia Family Law, or more properly, Shii Personal Status Law, is currently garnering a significant amount of media attention and has raised something of an outcry in the West. &nbsp;Without a doubt the law is problematic, but the more important issue is what it shows about the West's understanding of Islamic law and legal tradition and hence, some of the basic issues we are facing with (re-)constructing Afghanistan. &nbsp;For a general summary of the outcry, refer to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shia_Family_Law"><span>this Wikipedia article</span></a>.&nbsp; Another major problem is that neither I nor anyone I know has been able to get a text of any draft of this law, hence my discussion is necessarily limited to what has been reported.&nbsp; For an example I take to be typical of mainstream reporting on this issue, see <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/10/AR2009041003638.html"><span>this Washington Post article</span></a>.</span></p>
<p><span>What's missing in most of the commentary about the law is the context under which it was developed.&nbsp; This law is not unusual for Islamic countries, many of which have one or more religious civil codes, some of which exist alongside a secular alternative.&nbsp; There are three issues that can help us understand this law and its context: its applicability, its place and origins within Islamic legal theory, and the legislative process in Afghanistan.&nbsp; The name, the Shii Personal Status Law, indicates that this law applies to Shiis, a distinct group with their own dogma and fiqh (jurisprudence).&nbsp; The majority of Afghans are Sunni and belong to the Hanafi school of law,one of four widely accepted Sunni legal traditions.&nbsp; The Shiis in question are Ithnaashari, which has only one school often known as Ja'fari.&nbsp; Ideological and dogmatic disputes aside, for practical purposes, Shiis have a different legal traditional and hence get a different law for use amongst themselves (In countries with non-Muslim minorities, Christians, Jews, Zoroastrians, Hindus, and so on are also effectively treated as other schools and get their own personal status laws as well).</span></p>
<p><span>Now things get complicated.&nbsp; A lot of how the law will relate to the individual will be determined by whether participation in it is compulsory.&nbsp; Given that there is a Sunni personal status law, there will certainly be more than one law applicable to civil cases.&nbsp; So does a Sunni have to seek redress under their code?&nbsp; Is their participation required by product of their birth? Traditional interpretations often classify someone as Muslim, puzzlingly, by accident of birth unless they deliberately recant.&nbsp; If participation is not compulsory, then two Sunnis in a dispute can seek adjudication under the Shii law if it would be more favourable to them.&nbsp; This is a common practice, even on the level of individuals soliciting advice from different religious authorities of the same school in order to get a suggestion and rationale that justifies the preferred course of action&nbsp; (for a good explanation of 'fatwa shopping' see <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4868"><span>this article in Foreign Policy</span></a>).&nbsp; If a dispute arises between a Sunni and Shii (husband and wife or business partners, etc.), which court do they go to then?&nbsp; Will there be secular or 'default' civil code to go along with the religious ones?&nbsp; If this is the case, then there is a very real possibility that the religious codes will live on as sops to group identity but be practically superseded by the secular law and private arbitration.&nbsp; In any manner of wording or implementation there are numerous problems here, so logically one might ask why even have a sectarian law for such matters when the creation of said law will effectively move them out of government courts in any case?'&nbsp; The reason is in the history and the development of Islamic law.</span></p>
<p><span>Islamic law is often covered as if it were a set of unambiguous pro- and prescriptions immutably lying around somewhere.&nbsp; In reality, it is a fully fledged legal tradition comparable to others such as the Western one that grew out of Roman law.&nbsp; It is full of cases and opinions and has been embodied from time to time in codes, decrees, and norms.&nbsp; For anyone interested in how it works and how it came to be, I highly recommend Wael bin Hallaq's <em>Islamic Legal Theory </em>and <em>The Origins and Evolution of Islamic Law</em> as both technical and highly accessible introductions.&nbsp; Islamic law seeks to be comprehensive and makes the assumption that any act can be classified as obligatory, preferable, indifferent, disliked, or forbidden.&nbsp; Furthermore, Islamic law developed outside the state and in a pre-modern context where even the strongest state would be practically unavailable for any but the most large-scale issues.&nbsp; In Islamic law, jurists (<em>fuqaha</em>) use jurisprudence (<em>usul al-fiqh</em>) to determine what the Sharia is.&nbsp; The Sharia is the way the world works and because human beings are not omniscient, they can't know it with absolute certainty and have to use the resources at their disposal, such as reason and revelation.&nbsp; Think of it as a kind of natural law theory.&nbsp; This means that Sharia is applicable to everything.&nbsp; One thing that often strikes Westerners is how particularistic Islamic legal opinions (fatwas) can be, ranging from international relations to whether one should recycle if the city provides no such service.&nbsp; Go to <a href="http://sistani.org/local.php?modules=nav&amp;nid=5"><span>Ali Sistani's website</span></a> to get an idea of this.&nbsp; Simply put, if&nbsp; the Sharia is the way things are, then no question is off limits, and even if the answer to a question remains uncertain, it might still be worth taking a stab at and issuing an opinion on it.&nbsp; Therefore, a lot of Islamic law (rulings and opinions issued under the rubric of Islamic legal theory) is not Islamic per se.&nbsp; Quite a bit of it is simple logic, common sense, and highly variable according to place, time and social circumstance.</span></p>
<p><span>Now that I've explained just how universal the system we're dealing with is, I'm hoping that you're asking where the limits are when they need to be applied to specific and finite pieces of legislation.&nbsp; That, in fact, is the crux of the problem when traditional norms are taken out of their context and thrown unaltered into a modern environment.&nbsp; As a pre-modern legal system, Islamic law would have been no more or less able to develop and cope with modernity than its Western counterpart.&nbsp; The problem is that the development of Islamic law was interrupted by a mix of colonialism and its proxies (Westernising authoritarian regimes), the major effect of which, for our purposes here, was to destroy the traditional legal &eacute;lite and leave the rest of the non-specialists to find and define their own meanings.&nbsp; The result is that many Muslim communities came to conflate pre-modern traditions with Islamic best practice (the subject of pre-modern values in the context of modernity is a whole subject in itself, for more of my commentary on what's happening and how it works, <a href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2008/12/21/chickens-and-modernity.html"><span>see this article</span></a>).</span></p>
<p><span>The parts of the Shii Personal Status Law that have appeared in the press are rather typical of pre-modern legal rulings that would have been necessary to keep order in a patriarchal agrarian society (hey, I don't support it, but that was the internal logic).&nbsp; Provisions that sexual relations happen at certain minimal intervals would have had the logic of preserving domestic tranquility in marriage by attempting to limit a woman's control over one of her most important assets in such an environment, her sexuality.&nbsp; They would also have had the effect of ensuring that the marriage was more than a simple financial transaction and that the wife was not merely chattel.&nbsp; Alongside the onerous provisions regarding sex, you also found things like the husband being required to provide for the wife while she gets to maintain her own separate financial resources.&nbsp; In a place where you don't have much authority beyond what people in your immediate vicinity can agree on, these crude social controls were necessary and probably prevented their fair share of human degradation.&nbsp; Failure to adhere to one such principle (don't forget, in-laws would be involved) might not result in a penalty but raise the question of renegotiating or dissolving a marriage contract.&nbsp; Furthermore, pre-modern legal norms necessarily place a premium on maintaining overall communal harmony at the expense of the individual&rsquo;s happiness and freedoms.&nbsp; A female Afghan friend of mine once joked about a cartoon of a 20-year-old woman looking at her 60-year-old husband and saying, "It's been four days, it's time now."</span></p>
<p><span>The Belgian civil code is no less Islamic than the post-revolution Iranian Personal Status Law, but it might seem that way if you're a Muslim Iranian who knows nothing of Belgium.&nbsp; Similarly, adherents of an Afghan affinity group looked around for their own unique legal expressions to show their independence.&nbsp; What they found was evidently traditional rulings (some with more or less agreement amongst jurists) that were then slapped together and written up as a law.&nbsp; Decontextualised, many of these provisions would have been inappropriate or even inhumane and sometimes probably mutually contradictory as well.&nbsp; The Afghan parliament,which drafted the law alongside the Shii ulama, is itself a mixed bag of a number of political actors who generally come from tradition backgrounds and are still coming to grips with the workings of modern structures such as parliamentary committees.&nbsp; This poses limitations on parliament's functionality beyond the uprightness or competence of individual parliamentarians.&nbsp; I once interviewed for a parliamentary capacity building programme and during the interview, they described to me how things would go smoothly for a while and then someone would look at the most routine boiler-plate provision in a bill and raise a protest over it that would halt the progress of the entire bill.&nbsp; Karzai probably didn't look at it either, until the outcry over it grew, and again, saw it as a sop to the &eacute;lite of the Shii community (it might not have mattered much anyway, if its applicability turns out to have been elective).&nbsp; In the end, everyone is caught with their pants down and Westerners ask the question they always should have been asking:&nbsp; What am I spending my taxes on?</span></p>
<p><span>Where does the blame lie in this whole mess and what can we learn from it?&nbsp; Between parliament and the executive, there may be some bad apples and recklessness, but overall these are a bunch of people with a very difficult job trying to do the best they can in circumstances they are struggling to understand.&nbsp; Getting the government of Afghanistan to develop effective legislation that fully respects human rights and that Afghans feel they have ownership over, is one of the central deliverables the international community is trying to achieve in (re-)constructing Afghanistan.&nbsp; The least we can do as Westerners is not freak out every time we hear something like this.&nbsp; For the media, the most annoying thing was that most of the reporting was in response to the original discovery of this law and the reactions to the reactions to that.&nbsp; Having read a fair number of Afghan laws, I can say that there are many more such examples that we could be filled with righteous indignation at.&nbsp; This one just happened to get attention.&nbsp; That doesn't mean that every human &ndash;rights-violating gaffe should merit a story, but it does suggest that the process is the story.&nbsp; In addressing the Shii Personal Status Law, we would do well to pay attention to the context of the society, culture, and circumstances under which it was produced.&nbsp; And remember, we have yet to see the final law.</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>The American Deep State and Conciliation with Iran</title><category term="Iran"/><category term="US"/><category term="diplomacy"/><category term="nuclear proliferation"/><id>http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/3/24/the-american-deep-state-and-conciliation-with-iran.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://scottbohlinger.com/theglobalcalifornian/2009/3/24/the-american-deep-state-and-conciliation-with-iran.html"/><author><name>Scott Bohlinger</name></author><published>2009-03-24T12:25:00Z</published><updated>2009-03-24T12:25:00Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;<a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/the_press_office/VIDEOTAPED-REMARKS-BY-THE-PRESIDENT-IN-CELEBRATION-OF-NOWRUZ/">Obama's Nawroz message to Iran</a> marked a serious shift in American policy and attitude towards Iran but also showed the structural weaknesses in the American state that could prevent it &nbsp;from achieving those goals. &nbsp; Khamenei, the Supreme Leader, gave an excellent and well-thought-out reply to that speech the following day, which has been analysed by <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2009/03/khamenei-adopts-wait-and-see-attitude.html">Juan Cole</a> and <a href="http://icga.blogspot.com/2009/03/on-khameneis-response-to-obama.html">Farideh Farhi</a>. &nbsp;When discussing countries like Turkey, Iran, and Pakistan, commentators often mention the existence of a 'deep state', a coterie of officials somewhere within the state apparatus who have ultimate control over policy. &nbsp;I don't think this is much the case with Iran, and I'll explain below, but it definitely is a factor with the US, and in a lot of ways it gets to the heart of constraints on nation-states' abilities&nbsp;to act and react.</p>
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<div>Although representing an unmistakable improvement in attitude, the American overture revealed serious errors and a general lack of understanding on the part of the US government. &nbsp;The speech started out with a nice amount of ego-stroking and going on about the greatness of the Persian people and nation. &nbsp;Now this represents a good surface-level understanding understanding of Iranian culture, when people greet each other they go on with endless platitudes and compliments, but at some point they get down to business. &nbsp;This tendency to spend lots of time complimenting people, indeed often dialectically and with an almost competitive attention to detail, is known as <span style="font-style: italic;">ta'&acirc;ruf</span>. &nbsp; Notice the point about 'competitive attention to detail' and then 'getting down to business'; that's what's called <span style="font-style: italic;">zaring&icirc;</span>&nbsp;or "cleverness". &nbsp;In how you compliment somebody and what you compliment them on, you are setting the framework for what you want to discuss (or even the relationship more generally), hopefully in your favour. &nbsp;When Americans become familiar with the concepts of <span style="font-style: italic;">ta'&acirc;ruf </span>and <span style="font-style: italic;">zaring&icirc;</span>, they understand them both individually but fail to realise how Iranian culture puts them together so magnificently into the political WMD known as <span style="font-style: italic;">p&acirc;rt&icirc;b&acirc;z&icirc;</span>. &nbsp;And this extends to every level of human interaction--if it seems overly political, well it is, and it exhausts many Iranians themselves as well as many foreigners (of course, being a fan of the supremacy of politics in life, I love it, and I think it gives Iranians a real leg-up in the modern world). &nbsp;A compliment, when followed up by a specifically glaring lack of action also has the effect of being a huge insult...one of those insults that knocks people flat on their asses and gets talked about for a long time because it was such a great diss.</div>
<div>The point is, after all of this lovely <span style="font-style: italic;">ta'&acirc;ruf</span>&nbsp;the US president needed to get down to business by way of introducing one or two solid chunks of new policy. &nbsp;Rather, what he did was say this:</div>
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<blockquote><span style="font-size: small;">"You, too, have a choice. &nbsp;The United States wants the Islamic Republic of Iran to take its rightful place in the community of nation. &nbsp;You have that right -- but it comes with real responsibilities, and that place cannot be reached through terror or arms, but rather through peaceful actions that demonstrate the true greatness of the Iranian people and civilisation. &nbsp;And the measure of that greatness is not the capacity to destroy, it is your demonstrated capacity to build and create."</span></blockquote>
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<div>Burn. &nbsp;Along with not introducing any new policies on the part of the US, Obama instead offered sharp criticism by implying that Iran is not being responsible and that the main thrust of its diplomacy is bolstered by terror and arms. &nbsp;Iran is far from being my favourite state actor, but this sort of talk is useless and largely out of line. &nbsp;The most negative interpretation is that the US simply doesn't get it while a more positive one would be that Obama and his team get it but the broader political establishment both made them throw this in as a disclaimer and required the speech to be cautious so as to elicit a response from the Iranian government before introducing concrete policy initiatives. &nbsp;The truth is probably somewhere in between.</div>
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<div>Many Americans would like to believe that the US's primary USP is its ideological commitments, but the reality is different. &nbsp;It doesn't particularly fail in that regard, but first and foremost its commitment is to its citizens, nor is it a particularly responsible member of the international community. &nbsp;Even if Obama really is different than the neglect or disparagement of liberal ideals which we have seen from the US recently, the US has no right to go around chastising others for support of militant movements. &nbsp;Support for groups like Hizbullah as bargaining chips is minor compared to the level of US support for Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan. &nbsp;Additionally the comments reveal that Iran's desire to build a bomb is taken to be undeniable. &nbsp;I would argue that there is no&nbsp;consensus&nbsp;about this in the Iranian leadership other than the notion that the door should be left open. &nbsp;The chances of the leadership committing to weaponisation are indeed small in any circumstance short of an attack on Iran, the political and clerical opposition would likely topple the government were that openly mooted. &nbsp;Rather, Iran, like the US, is a status-quo power with the occasional ideological flourish. &nbsp;The inflammatory statements which come from Iran are usually the populist rants of President Ahmadinejad and aren't taken seriously by many Iran-watchers--when Khamenei gets on stage things are much more subdued. &nbsp;Again this is no more inflammatory that the Bush managed to say even when he wasn't mangling his words. &nbsp;The reality is, that while Iran has been a force for stability, real security nightmares have come to pass, like Israel's and Pakistan's acquisition of nuclear weapons. &nbsp;True, Iran's internal human rights record could use some work (especially with regards to treatment of Bahais), but it's still the liveliest and most participatory governments around its region.</div>
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<div>So it's clear that the US view of Iran is disproportionately bad in comparison to other regional actors. &nbsp;This probably boils down to a matter of pride, as well as the shock of all the anti-Americanism expressed during the revolution (as used to it as we are now, it was a genuine shock then). &nbsp;What worries me is that deep down the American security services and intelligence agencies just don't get it. &nbsp;One of the main qualifications for getting the necessary clearance to work at those levels is loyalty to the US, and by and large this is not the pluralistic US of Nawroz and Chinese new year but of apple pie and narrow worldviews. &nbsp;Anyone with genuine empathy towards non-Americans (I once heard a CIA official call it "affinity for foreign regions"!) isn't going to make it far in this system and their viewpoint will have been largely shaped by the received wisdom or lack thereof. &nbsp;This isn't a particular criticism of the US, it's a problem with the nation state in general; in this case the Iranian security services have similar issues. &nbsp;It means that some Americans think they're being real clever and understanding by buttering up Iran but haven't had enough exposure to the culture to realise that they came off as demeaning by not following up a grand gesture with grand substance. &nbsp;Such people might not also realise that they US really needs to change the way it <span style="font-style: italic;">acts</span>, even if those are the actions that Iran has been criticising for so long for entirely the wrong reasons. &nbsp;And this is what I mean when I talk about the "deep state". &nbsp;There is a certain class of people who must be disabused of entirely false notions for the US to take the steps necessary to produce dialogue with Iran.</div>
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<div>Iran too has deeply intrenched and unaccountable actors that make policy decisions they should not. &nbsp;However, where Iran sometimes lacks full democracy, nobody can accuse one faction of having a monopoly. &nbsp;All of the various security services, government foundations (which control 85% of the economy), and many different elements of the military and revolutionary guards answer to their own patrons and interests, but this hardly equals a coherent policy like one sees in the US or Turkey. &nbsp;Rather, it can best be seen as a gross lack of accountability and state-wide sclerosis that makes any sort of major political movement difficult. &nbsp;When Iranian-made weapons turn up in bazaars in Afghanistan they are not the result of state policy, they could be the decision of one commander somewhere to make a little bit of illicit financial gain or of a factory owner, or both parties thought they were selling to someone legitimate who was really a front for someone less so. &nbsp;So yes, there are all sorts of actors with all sorts of interests buried deep within the Iranian government, but they don't represent a deep state that is really in control of Iran.</div>
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<div>What the US needs with Iran is leverage, and that leverage cannot be built by scolding Iran. &nbsp;Serious dialogue needs to be based on interest. &nbsp;As much as it pains me personally, if the US (and Iran) can ignore talking about ideology, they will be able to do a lot together merely because it is in each other's best interests. &nbsp;The US is not in a position to scold Iran and needs to refrain from doing so, and as such needs to approach talks with unconditionality. &nbsp;I would advise Iran of the same thing. &nbsp;Luckily both sides want dialogue and we'll gauge how much that's the case by willingness to overlook gaffes. &nbsp;Khamenei's response was rightly <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/2009/03/090323_wkf-gibbs-iran.shtml">welcomed by Obama's press secretary</a>. &nbsp;Let's just hope that the US doesn't wait for change from Iran before it does the right thing itself.</div>
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